This topic came up on a blog I really enjoy recently. Since I am having a rare chill day and hording posts it seems like something to write about. First I will tell you what I did and then we can have some discussion. Personally I stashed a pretty solid emergency fund (equivalent of around 4+ months expenses) before looking to make accelerated debt payments. I am not saying it is right for everyone but that is what I actually did. The other logical route would be going Dave Ramsey style ie stashing a small emergency fund of $1,000 (or a bit more or less say $500 if you make less than 20k a year or $2,000 if you make more than 80k) to catch small emergencies then attacking debt like crazy.
I think interest rates are a big factor. A moderate 5% student loan could get minimum payments while you horde some cash but AMEX or Visa at 18% would bury you. You would gain almost no ground making minimum payments. The next big factor would be the projected payoff date based upon what you could toss toward the debt every month. The longer the period of payoff the higher the chances of something happening where you would need more than $1,000. If you could be debt free in 4 months then maybe just go for that but if it will wake a year or two I would want more savings.
The thing is that (especially with unsecured debt) you can choose not to pay at any given time if things get real bad. Lets say I have been able to put away 5k over the last 6 months. Either I saved it towards an emergency fund or used to pay down debt which lets say averages 7% interest. BAM something bad happens; you lose your job, get put on half time, the transmission in the car goes out, you have medical expenses not covered by insurance or whatever. I would be inclined to say you are better off with the cash to put food on the table, gas in your car, keep the lights on and a roof over your head than a smaller balance or even lower debt payments. The thing is that you can keep food in your stomach's, fuel and energy going and a roof with cash while lower debts will not do that. Worst case you can put off (yeah it is bad but less so than starving or being homeless) paying back whomever till things improve but you can't take back that money to eat on.
I think that even if you exclude regional disasters and hyperinflation I am comfortable trading the security of having the means to independently afford to survive for awhile for paying a bit more interest.
One could split the difference. Save a little bit then pay off the credit cards. Save a bit more then attack the car loan, etc. That might be the most balanced idea. However I am paranoid and would rather hold the cash.
Thoughts?
3 comments:
I chose a modified Ramsey approach. None of my interest rates were high so there wasn't that pressure, but I had a leaky roof to replace and a college student to support so I've funded those while working the debt.
I've also never understood the idea of paying off the mortgage last after all the unsecured debt so I put that in with the credit card balances. So, while I have two cards to pay off yet, I'm sending the final mortgage payment this month!
Taking on debt to fund your lifestyle is just nuts, no matter what the economy is doing, and paying 15%+ interest on consumer credit is just locking yourself into indentured servitude.
However if your income covers your lifestyle and leaves some over, then using affordable debt for investment is a reasonable proposition (all caveats apply,YMMV, etc.etc.).
If you have an appetite for risk then now is a good time to aquire income producing real estate.
With governments around the western world printing money in order to inflate away national debt, it is a very bad time to be a saver and a very good time to hold debt on appreciating assets.
This excess liquidity is designed to raise the nominal value of fixed assets. It's first effect is to raise the price of oil and other dollar denominated commodities.
The secondary effect (the real reason they are doing it), which has not yet kicked in, is to raise the value of real estate in order to revive that market. Savers are of course getting royally shafted.
So you can rightly complain about the situation, or you can profit from it.
I tend to agree with you Ryan and am following a similar plan myself. I have heard though that if you need to let something go in order to eat, unsecured debt can be particularly bad - they come after you, and hound and hound and hound... try garnishing your wages, seizing stuff, etc, whereas if you've got secured debt, stop paying, they come take the thing (house, car, or whatever the security is), and typically that's the end of it - that's the limit they can get from you. Food for thought for anyone who gets in the circumstance of deciding what debt to not pay in a food vs. debt decision...
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