Showing posts with label emergency fund. Show all posts
Showing posts with label emergency fund. Show all posts

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Surviving Real Life

Commander Zero wrote a post that inspired this. A whole lot of real life happens between crazy regional events, let alone larger national and world ones. Folks get so caught up in stocking up on beans, bullets and band aids that they can forget about more practical things.

We have raided the emergency fund more times than I can recall. Car repairs are the usual culprit but unexpected bills, unforeseen expenses and the occasional sudden trip home have all had their turns. Conversely we have yet to NEED stored food. Sure it has been nice to have an extra bag/ box/ can of whatever to finish a recipe or for those times you decide to deviate from the weeks meal plan. However nothing has happened to us that the typical couple days worth of food in an average household would not cover.

We have had several times somebody ended up needing significant medical care. Without insurance we would have been financially ruined. Conversely while we can all agree guns are comforting the need to have them is rare. Those needs are amply covered by basic guns. One can forgo an expensive AR-15 or precision rifle with almost no risk of it coming back to bite them.

I'm not saying you should stop storing emergency food or sell those politically incorrect guns. What I am  saying is that in addition to those fun survivalist things you need to have an emergency fund and a realistic plan for inevitable medical problems. These are far more likely to save your behind than a pantry full of food and an AK-47.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

RE: Claire Wolfe's Preparedness Priorities 2

Claire Wolfe has continued her excellent Preparedness Priorities series.

In Part 3 Claire talks about how people need to prepare differently. To me this is pretty obvious but some folks miss it all the same. We could break these differences down into regional and personal. Regional differences are pretty obvious. Different areas have unique weather and disaster concerns. Folks who live in really cold places like Michigan need to worry a lot more about warm clothes and sleeping bags, etc than those in Arizona. Conversely people in Arizona should pay more attention to keeping plenty of water around and such. Preparing for a hurricane in Iowa or an ice storm in Florida would be foolish.

On the other hand personal factors vary well, person to person. Let's look at two potential examples, economic/ financial vulnerability and violent crime risk factors. We will meet Tim and Bob.

Tim is a hustler but not in the bad way. He has a pretty good full time job, always has a few side projects going and works with his Dad when the full time job is slow. Also his wife has a clerical job for the state. If Tim loses his full time job they would probably be down 40% income but he could make some of that up putting more effort into other areas. If Tim was seriously injured (he works with heavy machinery full time and does some logging so it could happen) they could eat and keep the lights on with his wife's income. The point is that their 3-4 income streams come from totally different places. It is very unlikely they would all fall apart at once.

Bob makes a very good living. He went to college and got a business degree and went to work in management at the local plant. His wife stays at home with the kids. If he loses favor at work or the plant closes or whatever they have absolutely no income. (I do not mean to say stay at home mom's are a bad thing. That is another discussion entirely.)

The point is that while Tim's income may vary a bit Bob is actually more vulnerable. If something happens they are hosed. Bob would have a heck of a time finding a similar job in the same area. They probably want more like a year worth of expenses put away because it will take awhile to figure things out. On the other hand Tim might be comfortable with 3-4 months to get them through winter until he is busy again.

Looking at violent crime risk factors for our two guys.

Tim does a lot of work for cash. He also pays helpers and subcontractors and suppliers in cash. He buys equipment with cash. Tim carrying around a couple thousand dollars in cash and having 10k at home is pretty common. More to the point due to all the people involved a pretty good amount of people know Tim deals in cash. In the nature of normal events and casual conversation lot's of folks know about this. Tim is often alone driving between job's or putting in bids or working in the middle of nowhere. Also let's be honest in and around his line of work there are some unsavory characters.

On the other hand Bob gets payed by direct deposit. He rarely makes large cash sales or purchases. They do not have any particularly unique or special valuables that would be easy to sell/ transfer. He keeps some cash at home and have some PM's but only Bob and his wife know about that stuff.

[Real world point. A buddy of mine had a SWAT team spend a week camped out in his living room once. There was a pretty nasty home invasion crew and intelligence said he was on their list. His work was very seasonal and a lot was in cash. In season he often had a lot of cash at home and the wrong people knew about it. Aside from random crackheads people usually get targeted because crooks know or think they know something particularly valuable is there.]

Tim has some risk factors. He would be prudent to do something to mitigate that risk.Maybe nothing will every come of them but then again it would only have to happen once. Bob on the other hand has considerably lower risk. Aside from general common sense stuff he probably doesn't need to go out of the way here.

The point I am getting at is that different people have different concerns based on their unique situation. Obviously there are a lot more variables like medical issues, family networks, etc.

Part IV has some really good points. Focusing on more likely scenarios (job loss, violent crime, inflation) over less likely (EMP, nuclear war, Zombies) ones just makes sense. Also when giving people advice I think it is important to tailor advice to their situation, finances and level of commitment. Giving unrealistic advice will leave them bummed if they want to do it but can't, turned off if they don't want to or dismissive of the whole thing.  The right advice for a family with a modest income and a lot of kids is different than for a working couple who make a lot of money.

I was talking about this with Wifey today. Often I find myself in the position of recommending things that I do not actually recommend if that makes any sense. The reason I do this is because it fit's their situation and makes them more prepared than they previously were. A few boxes of shells for the old .38 special and 12 gauge or a spam can for the Mosin Nagant you swapped for a case of beer, some batteries, a few gallons of water and some food in the pantry is a heck of a lot better than nothing.

Claire continues the series touching on risk assessments and water storage neither of which I feel like talking about. Anyway those are my thoughts on that.


Monday, June 4, 2012

A Week in Preps, Free Downloads, Kits and Other Stuff

I couldn't quite decide what to write today. I didn't want to skip a week in preps/ what did you do to prepare this week but there is other stuff floating around my head also. Anyway you are going to get all sorts of stuff today.

This week I finished up the kit/ bag that I have been working on. That meant buying the last few things like plastic bags and granola bars, digging around closets and storage to find things and just taking the time to get it all put together. We will revisit this later. Also we put some more money into our emergency fund. In the last couple months we have increased it by about 40%. Mostly this was needed for the fund to keep up with our family and life situation.

Today I noticed that John Galt's The Day The Dollar Died blovel is being offered as a free PDF download. I really enjoyed reading it the first time. Being able to read it at my own pace, not all broken up, will be nice. I strongly recommend it. Now onto kits.

So like I said I got done building the kit I have been working on. It started out to be a get home bag. I am not exactly sure what it turned into. Maybe there was a sort of mission creep but it definitely got bigger, heavier and more comprehensive than I planned. While it fit into my Tactical Tailor assault bag it was too heavy for such a bag and carried badly. I put the contents into one of the smallish packs I got from REI awhhile back. What I have is sort of straddling the fence between what I would consider a pretty comprehensive and relatively heavy get home bag and a slightly minimalist bug out bag. It has stuff to purify water, change clothes, sleep in reasonable (spring/summer, winter would need a different module) comfort, treat a variety of injuries and all of that good stuff.

I am not sure if I am thrilled with it or unhappy. In any case it definitely did not fit the intended purpose. If I commuted 50 miles one way to work every day it would probably live in my vehicle. However I do not do that. I do like the setup but am not entirely sure what I will do with it. Maybe it will stay the same or change or get parted out. For the time being it will be my bugout bag. Down the road I think it might get slightly tweeked and become Wifey's bag.

After putting that bag together and realizing the problem we just talked about I immediately set out to making the sort of get home bag that I actually need. So I put together a pretty light get home bag.  One that fits my life. I was determined not to let it suffer from any sort of creep. Basically I took my TT assault pack, tossed in a pair of boots, socks, some water and a bunch of various bars to munch on.  Of course the usual suspects like a knife, compass, fire making stuff, etc are present. Much more geared toward a 25 mile walk than a multi day treck.

Thoughts or ideas would be appreciated.

I may get around to doing posts on these. However I want to mull recent developments and maybe fill some gaps first. It might be awhile as I am lazy when it comes to that sort of posts.

Gas prices are down some here. About 30 cents from the high if memory serves me correctly. I noticed that gold shot up a bit recently but silver is still well under $30 which is a pretty good deal. It may stay there and may not, I can't say.

Anyway that is about all I have for now. Hope Monday wasn't too painful for anybody.



Sunday, April 22, 2012

What Did You Do To Prepare This Week?

This week we added more cash to our on hand emergency fund. A few weeks back we were trying to figure out what to do with some money, a rather decent problem to have I guess. Anyway we decided that where it would do the most good is at home with us.

Also I got some tuna pouches and granola bars for the get home bag I am working on. It is pretty much functional now though I do need to order a few things. Kinda holding off on buying anything until the Glock 19 mag deal is completed.
We organized and inventoried our medical and hygiene supplies. I am pretty happy with what we have got, especially considering most of it can't be shipped when we move back to the US. My one big take away is that we need to be more organized. I think there were 2 half empty bottle of cough syrup and 3 things of Ibuprophen that were being used. We shifted to one area for stuff we are using and another to store replacement's.

Also I tweeked my workout routine some. More on that once it is solidly underway.
Though not exactly traditional preparedness tasks we did get some good stuff done this week. What did you do to prepare this week?

Edited to include: This was supposed to post yesterday, I am not sure why it didn't.

Thursday, April 14, 2011

The Importance of Saving No Matter What

One thing about the military is that we get paid regularly. It doesn't get much more predictable. Though for reasons I cannot understand it always varies by a dollar or two we know 99.5% of what we will get paid and exactly when. Unfortunately this makes a lot of military families (we also have some weird excentricites but that is another discussion)
 
Given the whole mess about the budget there is talk that the government might shut down and we would not get paid. I believe this has actually happened twice, during the Revolutionary War and the Clinton era. Most likely they will do a series of short extensions and then figure it out however we might have a gap in pay.
 
Wifey is active, or at least a lurker, on a couple of those military wife type boards. There were women talking about how if this happened they could not feed their families, not dramatically but literally. Also I am not talking about after weeks or months of no paychecks but immediately. If that check didn't hit on the 1st and the 15th like clockwork they would be screwed. The point of this is that even the most secure jobs and income streams can have disruptions.
 
Also a bunch of Navy families got evacuated from Japan and the immediate surrounding area. These folks left, with little notice and I imagine very limited baggage. They got put on a plane and landed somewhere to stay for awhile. Maybe they will get some sort of lodging but there will certainly be expenses associated with living out of some sort of temporary lodging. Wives will need hygiene and beauty items, kids will need toys and kid stuff, over a long enough timeline everybody will need some more clothes and without access to a full kitchen it costs a lot more to eat. The point of this is that all sorts of emergencies may happen that, while they have nothing to do with your income stream, will go beyond it's ability to absorb.
 
Basically no matter what your situation is, or how secure your income stream you need to save.

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Random Observation: Got Cash?

Wifey buys and sells a lot of used stuff. It is my job to pick it up and or deliver it and give or receive payment. I am like a drug used stuff mule. (Having a vehicle big enough to deliver puts me in that role and it also helps her close a lot of deals) Seriously it is sort of weird. I am regularly going to some place with a piece of paper that has an address on it to pick up or drop off something and exchange cash.

Recently she has been selling off unneeded stuff. Twice in the last couple weeks I have gone to deliver something and needed to run them to the ATM to get cash to pay me. Not a big deal really. Lots of folks here don't have cars and we can all forget something. The more interesting part is that we aren't talking about a lot of money. One time it was $40 and another it was $60. One of the gal's had no cash and the other was $20 short. I sort of shrugged the first one off but the second showed it is a noteable trend.

This was a stark reminder that there are lots of folks out there who have what amounts to no cash (probably a few crumpled ones and a bit of change) on hand. Folks who would be unable to pay for gas or food (I'd bet a c note the cupboards are almost empty too) if the electricity and ATM/ computer networks were down. Part of a day would be an inconvenience but if there was a power outage/ regional disaster these folks would be screwed.

If you do not keep some cash on hand you are a fool. Despite what the 'tangible investment' and beans and bullets folks say in all of the more realistic and likely scenarios people still deal in cash. You don't see complex systems of barter appear overnight in anything but a total collapse. Maybe a good bargain can be made for gas, shotgun shells or canned food but folks will accept good old greenbacks. As for how much you should keep around I am a lot more flexible. Different people have different needs and concerns as well as incomes, assets and tolerances for specific types of risk. I think establishing the minimum is significantly more important than setting a maximum.

Chief Instructor says that a month's worth of cash expenses kept on hand is a good number. Cash expenses would be stuff you need that is not locked into a regular contract. They are also things that if, and I am just tossing some stuff out here, ATM's crashed or banks went on a holiday, there was a power outage or whatever you would still need to pay for regularly in cash on the barrelhead for. Food and fuel are primary considerations here with stuff like medication, smokes, booze, vehicle maintenance, etc in there also. If you have drank the coolaid and are following Dave Ramsays baby steps just keeping baby step 1 ($1,000 in savings, $500 if you are real low income or 2k if you have a high income) in mixed bills at home. However you choose to figure it the end result is pretty much the same. The point is to have enough cash to get yourself through some sort of emergency or otherwise sustain yourself for awhile.

These low numbers should be fairly easy to meet with a bit of planning assuming you live a sane financial lifestyle. They aren't enough money that inflation is a significant issue but are enough to deal with most of what could come up. Also these minumum amounts are low enough that if your stash happens to get found it shouldn't break you. Though as Commander Zero noted once it is far more likely that your stash will be frittered away by you on a pizza here and a $20 for a trip to the bar there then actually get stolen.

As for the maximum. It is really about what you are willing to risk being lost in a fire or by theft. I wouldn't want so much cash in my home that I couldn't afford to lose it should something happen. A certain percentage of your overall liquid assets is probably the way to figure it out. For me 10% seems reasonable and 20% doesn't seem nuts. That means if you have 10 grand in various stuff 1 or 2k in cash. If you have 100k it would be 10 to twenty. Unless you live a particularly high risk lifestyle where you might need running money I would not want to go much higher than that. Baring the potential sudden need to get out of town for a few months I would not want more than then at risk of theft and getting eaten away by inflation.

Monday, January 24, 2011

What Did You Do To Prepare This Week?

When I wasn't at work we've been trying to maximize family time. Not a lot happened here in terms of preps. We've been working our way through storage food and stuff. However since we ended up eating out more than usual (just kinda happened and at this point we are just focused on keeping things as easy as possible) we didn't go through that much stuff.

We have been selling some unnecessary stuff. The combination of Wifey relocating and me deploying comes with all kinds of $100ish expenses as well as a grand for Wifey's ticket home. No big worries as we've got the ticket paid for. This is just a bit of a gentle push to sell the stuff we have been meaning to sell for awhile now. We made $75 for stuff we spent $30 on so that was nice.

We did stash 15 Euro's but that was on accident as we had a 50 and dinner cost 35.

I did OK in terms of working out. Got 3 extra workouts which is under my goal of 4 but certainly better than 0 workouts.

What did you do to prepare this week?

Monday, December 20, 2010

Financial Preps for WTSHTF or Your Own Personal TEOTWAWKI

Preparing for the worst can be daunting. It is also easy to focus on putting back several rifles, cases of ammo and everything else that goes along with it (Now you need some optics, a safe, spare mags, lights, another safe, etc.), or other emergency gear that we could spend hours listing. Let’s face it – acquiring the cool gear is fun! It’s also one of the most often talked about topics in this community. People like their toys and that’s perfectly fine. But it’s only one leg on your stool. Food and medical preps are covered to a lesser extent but still fairly regularly. Something I feel that is of equal importance, though not near as fun to discuss, is financial security.
I think many people avoid the financial preparedness topic because it can bring you back to reality: sometimes it’s hard to find enough to go around. How can you pay the bills, buy your beans, bullets, band-aids and still find money to save when disaster seems to be looming over the horizon? You better make room for it. That EMP may happen tomorrow or your small town might look like “Jericho” (TV series) next week, but I guarantee you sometime this year your own personal TEOTWAWKI will happen if you don’t put some cash back now. It could be a transmission that starts slipping, a layoff, an ER visit – Murphy will throw something at you when you least expect it. So where do we start?

Rotate Your Stocks AND Your Priorities

Several thousand rounds of center-fire rifle ammo and several reliable battle rifles for you and the family is a noble effort, but not at the expense of everything else. Set up some sort of system where all of your goals are slowly being met. One example can be found below:

Discretionary Spending Schedule:
Week 1: Guns and Gear
Week 2: Medical Supplies
Week 3: Trip to the Local Sam’s or Costco for Food Stocks
Week 4: Cash, Savings or Silver/Gold

Rinse and Repeat Next Month

It doesn’t have to be as rigid as the above example. I grocery shop at Wal-Mart; I’ll throw a box of 9mm and something for the first aid kit in the buggy every week on the grocery trip. I also will put some money back every week to slowly build our reserve. There is no right way to do this, find something that works and stick to it.

So, you’ve got some money set aside for financial preps. What now?

Cash is (for now) Still King

The manager at your local grocer is going to be pretty darn reluctant to let you leave the store with a gallon of milk for a 1964 quarter. Sure he may exchange it for some cash in his pocket but I bet you’re not going to get the most recent spot price from this transaction. If the power is out from the ____ (insert your regional disaster of choice – hurricane, snow storm, earthquake, etc. - here), chances are that credit card is not going to cut it either. Cash still has its place in your safe. One week’s paycheck is probably a good start to get you through most bumps in the road, especially if you already have at least a few weeks of food and a good first aid kit (you do, right?). For larger bumps in the road…

Make a War chest

Not literally, but treat your savings account with the same passion as you would a chest full of sharp pointy battle implements. A lot of folks say aim for 2-3 months worth of expenditures (everything from the mortgage down to gas for you vehicle). My wife and I are taking it a step further and have set the bar at 3 months worth of income (big difference). This is going to take some people longer than others; that’s OK. As long as you are making progress then don’t get discouraged! If an emergency comes up one month and it cuts your war chest in half then look at it like this: Success! You took a hit on the chin and are still standing! Our strategy has another benefit; life is all about timing. Opportunities come and go; if a great deal comes your way on a piece of land or something else and you have the spare cash to jump on it, do it. Just don’t look for excuses to raid your war chest. Make sure it is a worthwhile investment. Then proceed to build your savings back up immediately. Get your savings built up and then start considering…

Silver and Gold

How much precious metal (PM) is enough? It all depends on whom you ask. Just remember, PMs aren’t an investment (well they can be, more in a minute), they are insurance. Investments grow your wealth. Over the long haul, PMs will simply store your wealth. Short-term plays on PMs can be done to turn a profit, but buying and selling coins is the least efficient way to do it. You might as well trade paper gold on the stock market, and that’s not why we’re here. I once read a very interesting article that stated that an ounce of silver today buys approximately what an ounce of silver bought 2,500 years ago (I believe their example was loaves of bread). Try that with any fiat currency in the world! (Well, you can’t – it never stays in circulation long enough) We want to hedge against inflation. PMs are our insurance against the failure of our currency. Whatever currency becomes the world reserve when ours fails, silver and gold will hold value in that denomination as well.

My personal goal would be to eventually (long term) have 1 year’s salary in PMs. I think an 80/20 gold/silver holdings ratio is reasonable, but do your own Due Diligence and find what is right for you. You will probably want to start with silver, but at some point you have to switch to gold because silver gets bulky quick. I’d recommend starting with Pre-64 junk silver and 5-10 oz. bars. If you run across a good deal on some silver eagles, buy them! I bought some silver eagles last week for under spot! How did I do it? I deal solely with a local merchant who I trust completely and him likewise. I can’t stress the importance of dealing locally. If I find a 1965 dime (no silver content) in my roll I bought from my local guy, he graciously exchanges for a silver dime. No questions asked. Try that on E-bay.

I won’t talk about gold much because if you invest in silver first, by the time you are ready to dive into it, you will be fairly savvy with PMs; you will have done extensive research, right?

Now that we’ve covered some financial ground, let’s see if we can change the way we look at our other areas of preparedness to save us some money.

Streamline Your Gear

I have approached my firearms purchases in a manner that reduces the amount of different ammo we have to purchase. We have multiple pistols and carbines serving multiples purposes chambered in 9mm. We have also chose to standardize 12 gauge and 7.62x39.

A case of ammo in any of the above 3 calibers has the immediate benefit of being utilized by multiple firearms. Stocking up is much easier and cheaper.

Of course we have other firearms that are not in our standard calibers, but we don’t stock ammo for them like we do for the standard calibers. In theory you would want not only the same caliber, but the same brand as well. I say “In theory” because this is a tough one. In practice everyone in the family will have different tastes so it may be hard to convince everyone that carrying Glock 19s is in their best interest when they cringe when they have to hold the ugly bugger. A good goal would be to aim for full uniformity, and settle for caliber uniformity.

Another cost saving measure is go out and buy a .22 rifle and pistol if you don’t already have one as soon as it is financially sound to do so. This will obviously save you countless money over the years.

This doesn’t simply go for firearms. Try to buy battery-operated equipment that takes the same size batteries. Once again, this makes stocking up much easier and cheaper.

Make a Budget

The word “budget” can strike so much fear in a man, you would swear Hessians had just breached the privacy fence and are now occupying the pool house. It doesn’t have to be so scary, however. Your budget can be as loose or strict as you like, as long as it serves its purpose. One of the main benefits of the budget is it forces you to think through your expenditures.

I create a simple budget on spreadsheet that first tallies our income for the month, and then deducts all of our estimated expenditures. This allows me to determine our surplus and project what our end of the month balance should be in our account. If we surpass our goal, I do a little dance and then try to determine where I’m overestimating. If we miss our goal, we take step back and determine what went wrong. I don’t subscribe to the Dave Ramsey School of budgeting (budget down to the very last penny) because to me it seems like a lot of effort for not much of an improvement over my simple system. It works for many people, so I’m not knocking it. Find something that works for YOU.

Trim the Fat

Often people tell themselves that they just don’t have the money to save (you may even hear them say this on their brand new iPhone). They’ll say maybe next year, or after the house/car/boat is paid off or the kids are older/grown/etc. – that’s procrastination. One day you may wake up retired and struggling to make it; let’s avoid that outcome.

Internet, home phone lines, cable TV, cell phones, new vehicles every five years, too much house, etc. are all traps people fall in. I won’t tell you to turn off all of your services and move to the hills, but do take a rational look at your expenses and determine what you can reasonably cut or downgrade to allow you to put back some money. One thing I do recommend that has saved me over the years is brown bagging your lunch. Learn to love it. In one year brown bagging can save you enough money to buy that AR you want (Or – several pounds of silver).

Prepare for TSDTWAWKI (The Slow Decline of the World as We Know It)

TEOTWAWKI has happened for thousands of years, but the sun still rises in the east and the birds still fly south for the winter. If you were born in 1910 in Germany and lived 70 years, I’d say you lived through several TEOTWAWKIs (Weimer Germany, WW2, a literal divided nation, etc.). Our grandfathers and great-grandfathers had it hard at times; but they raised families, grew old, and hopefully were able to enjoy some sort of retirement after decades of work. The world may not end tomorrow, but it may slowly change for the worse for the rest of your life. Don’t rely on entitlement programs in your retirement years. Stock up on beans, bullets, band-aids and bullion, but also contribute to your 401K (at least get your company match, if offered), sock away some cash, buy real estate – diversify. Do not over-leverage yourself in our economy, but at the same time don’t rely solely on tangibles as a store of your wealth.

A true survivor plans for all contingencies. His portfolio is as diverse as his options. He buys cases of ammo and rolls of old coins, but he also contributes to his 401K to at least get the match his company offers. He has several acres of land in God’s country somewhere far from the city lights, but he also strives to be debt free. He has the cash on hand to G.O.O.D. and the savings and insurance to come back and rebuild (and the larder to live on until then). He doesn’t know the future so he prepares for all outcomes; no matter what happens his family will have options. He also recalls that Rome wasn’t built in a day, and American affluence has been squandered slowly for a while now; there is trouble on the horizon, so he starts now.

Saturday, November 20, 2010

When Are You Done Preparing?

FerFAL was recently asked the interesting question "When Are You Done Preparing?". I found the question interesting and it sort of stuck in my head. I don't disagree with FerFAL's answer but I do see it from a different perspective. Here is how I see it.

It is worth discussing the difference between maintenance and growth (though not strictly money, also time, energy, etc) of your preps. Maintenance of your preps would be stuff like rotating foodstuffs, practicing to keep your skills fresh, etc. Growth would be stuff like increasing your food storage, learning a new skill, taking a class, buying guns, gear, etc.

I think a certain amount of maintenance is necessary lest your food goes bad, your equipment degrades and your skills atrophy. You've got to rotate food and clean weapons. Car kits and GHB's need to be periodically inventoried and have perishable contents rotated. Even the best shot will get rusty if he doesn't touch a handgun for a year. Personally I wouldn't classify this kind of maintenance as continual preparations. Now that we have that covered.

To the fundamental question "when are you done preparing?" I would reply "preparing for what?" Everyone has different concerns and worst case scenarios they are preparing for. If we imagine white being a very limited power outage and black being a full on genuine One Second After/ Mad Max/ Jericho TEOTWAWKI scenario there are almost infinite shades of grey in between. What you are preparing for has a lot to do with when/ if you can ever be done.

Lets say you are an average guy who lives on the Gulf or southern Atlantic coast. You are justifiably concerned about a hurricane. You know it can be difficult to get fuel in the run up to evacuation time so you keep a half dozen 5 gallon cans in the shed and make sure your vehicle is topped off during hurricane season. You know that the smart thing to do is to leave and you've got a plan with your Uncle who lives a few hundred miles inland to come crash there. You have maps and alternate routes planned out just in case.

Since Katrina showed you that it can be weeks before help can arrive and services are restored you keep 90 days of shelf stable, easy to cook foodstuffs around. A couple extra propane cans will let you cook just about forever on the Coleman stove you use for camping. Keeping a few extra big boxes of batteries will let you run the various flashlights in your house for some time. For water you picked up a filter at the local camping store. After seeing the madness of Katrina you ordered 500 rounds of buckshot for your 12 gauge in addition to whatever hunting loads you have lying around. You also purchased a handgun with a few spare mags and a couple extra 100 rd white boxes from Walmart. Last year you stashed a few hundred dollars in the gun cabinet just in case. Could this guy say that he is done preparing? I think so. Of course there might be a small hole here or there but the broad strokes are covered and he is in a decent spot for the scenario he is concerned with.

Someone worried about a genuine full on Jericho style collapse is probably never going to be done. They will just move from more likely and immediate concerns such as 'how will we eat next winter' to the more obscure and unlikely 'how will my grandchildren make metal tools to replace those which wear out'. A person worried about this kind of scenario is always going to be thinking of something new and trying to deal with progressively more unlikely scenarios.

Personally I do not think I am every going to be done preparing. I am going to have times where the growth slows or stops until I get to another stage (buying a home, having more space, getting some land, etc) over time. However in the big picture over time I am going to progressively work from likely situations to more unlikely ones. It is more likely that we will have to ride out a short to mid term disaster then that we will suffer an EMP or a super aids bird flu pandemic. Assuming the world doesn't end in a few more years I will likely be focused almost exclusively on relatively unlikely scenarios. It is just my nature to want to improve my situation.

It is the very last day to enter our Awesome Ammo Giveaway Contest. Hurry up and enter now so you can get a whole bunch of free ammo.

When are YOU going to be done preparing?

Friday, November 5, 2010

Reader Questions: Alternate Title Ethics and Pragmatic Thinking On Medical Debt

First off thanks for your blog. I read it regularly. I do have one question about living within ones means, as I have been doing by default(bad credit).

After many attempts to dig out of debt and be debt free minus the needed bills- car ins., utilities, etc. I have fallen into a somewhat unique scenario. I had an employer file bankruptcy and eliminate any chance of COBRA health ins. shortly after being unemployed, I had an emergency surgery to the tune of $70,000. Since that time I have been accumulating massive medical debt, despite currently having health ins. My question is how can I justify continuing to pay a mortgage payment of debt? After all the different payments to different doctors even at modest monthly payment are added up, I cannot manage a $700 monthly payment on my modest salary. Bankruptcy is not a word in my vocabulary, but is it something I should look into? I have been paying some of them regularly, but am only paying the interest at this point. 

As far as planning for any emergency, if I get $10 a week set aside, I am having a banner week, but some medical issue comes up my puny savings is wiped out again. I don't know if I am looking for insight or just venting so I do not shoot off all my bullets saved for a different day. 


Thanks, DS in NJ



DS, First of all I just want to convey my sympathy for the rough situation you are in. Life can sometimes bring bad things at the time we are least capable of dealing with them. Anyway here are the issues I see. First is ethics as they apply to debt. Maybe it is ridiculously antiquated but I believe when you borrow or are advanced goods or services you are giving your word to honor it and pay under the terms of the agreement. I believe that you should think about these choices and if you can't repay then don't borrow. However as we mentioned things can happen. People can make reasonable (maybe not text book perfect but certainly not bad) decisions and still end up in a rough spot. Particularly when we talk about medical problems or the current climate of seriously long term job loss bad things can happen to good people who made solidly normal choices. I believe that we have bankruptcy laws for a reason. Folks can through bad luck, bad choices or some combination thereon get into a situation where they are not going to be able to repay their debts. Instead of people just not paying debts they can't pay anyway we might as well make it legal and let them, in time, move on with their lives.

Ethically I believe if you can afford to pay back your debts you should do so. [I find the concept of "strategic bankruptcy" and its passive friend jingle mail, provided you can afford the mortgage) completely unethical.] This debt should come after the basics like shelter, food, utilities, fuel, etc. Being homeless and sleeping in national forests with an empty stomach so you can try to pay off debt, while a dramatic choice, is probably a bit extreme. This debt should however come before luxuries like expensive entertainment, electronic gadgets, cool new guns, new cars, travel, etc.

I do not think bankruptcy is something to be proud of. Personally if I had to declare bankruptcy because I made a whole bunch of stupid choices I would be really ashamed of myself. However if I found myself with huge medical bills which got racked up over an inopportune time; or faced for whatever reason a drastic and permanent drop in income I wouldn't feel super happy about my situation but wouldn't look at myself negatively. Sometimes stuff happens to you and you just move on.

Speaking to your situation pragmatically. Without knowing all of your information (savings, debts, income, interest rates, etc) it is hard to say anything specific. I do not have all the information. To be honest I am not a professional financial anything and beyond generic thoughts I can just suggest you consult a professional. I would certainly at least look into bankruptcy. Go see a professional and run the numbers. Take some time and think about the second and third order effects of both scenarios; paying these debts and potentially filing bankruptcy then make a decision. 

I wish you the best,
Ryan

Friday, October 8, 2010

Putting My Money Where My Mouth Is: Personal Finance Ramblings

I was doing some math yesterday. It turns out that we live on right about 50% of my take home wages. The rest goes to accelerated debt repayment, retirement, PM's and a couple other odds and ends. That means our emergency fund is right about 5 months of normal life expenses without cutting anything. If we needed to raid the emergency fund we would obviously cut some stuff like discretionary travel, eating out and such.

How do we do this? Simply we don't buy all kinds of stuff we don't need and can't comfortably afford. It is my observation that people who are in debt up to their eyeballs are almost always in it for stuff they don't need. Instead of a new BMW or two we have older more modest cars. Almost everything we buy is used. We enjoy traveling very much but do it within our budget. Sort of like Dave Ramsey says it is simple but not easy. However I can say that it is very rewarding and I don't worry about money very often.

Somehow we got to talking with Miley about money. I started talking about the huge relationship benefits we have derived from having personal money. Basically the concept of personal money goes like this. Wifey and I each get some money every payday (it could be monthly or whatever) and it is entirely ours for discretionary purchases with no accountability. Save it, spend it, whatever. Wifey makes small purchases of candy and such then occasionally saves up for some clothes (that she doesn't need) or an expensive purse. I buy good liquor and preps. The real benefit is that it cuts out all those small little money arguments. The "why the hell did you spend 12 dollars on X" kind of stuff. For some folks they both just spend reasonable amounts on stuff that doesn't bother the other person. However my observation is that most people have their weird little quirky money habits that bother their spouse. This makes that a non issue. I simply cannot see us not doing personal money. If our financial situation changed we could and would adjust the dollar amount but I just can't see not doing it.

Lots of people talk about living below your means but don't do it. Are you one of them? If so what are you going to do to improve your situation? Pay down debt, decrease your lifestyle, earn more? I don't think there is a wrong answer here. If you are happy and comfortable spending everything that comes in then go for it. However if you are not happy with where you are then DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT.

Thursday, September 23, 2010

How Many Guns Are Too Many?

This blog post which is also titled How Many Guns Are Too Many? got me thinking. I believe I also talked about this in a post over at Commander Zero's place some time ago. However writing every day is hard and sometimes you go for the base hit. I think this is a lot easier question to answer than how many guns are too few/ how many guns you need for X.

I think that unless you live in an RV or on a small (like below 50 foot) boat the issue of space is largely mute.

If you like to collect firearms as a hobby or want to have additional weapons for redundancy then it is pretty easy to end up with a lot of guns. I used to be pretty gun centric but now, even though I am less gun centric my budget is a lot better so buying stayed somewhat steady. I seem to average about 2.5 guns a year over the years. Look at it this way. 3 guns in a year is .22 for plinking, a deal on a used 870 which is just too good to pass up a Glock for your birthday. If you have decent, let alone significant, resources and keep up the interest in acquiring guns over decades a huge collection of hundreds of weapons can be accumulated.

The big thing is about resources required to get said guns and then kept tied up in them. I don't think you can have too many guns but I do think that you can over allocate your limited resources towards guns at the detriment of an overall well rounded plan. Simply put five hundred dollars that goes to a Glock or an AK cannot by default go towards food storage or savings or paying down debt or infinite other places, think about balance.

It is great to have a nice well rounded collection of (just to toss out a number) say a dozen guns. However it is probably better to have half a dozen guns, a well stocked pantry and a few hundred dollars. You may need a spare semi automatic rifle to arm someone else but you WILL need food. You may need that super accurate sniper target rifle but you almost certainly will at some point need $1,500 for an unforeseen expense or emergency.

If you find yourself pawning guns when a car breaks down or a paycheck is late/ small or whatever then maybe it would be wise to shrink your collection and beef up your savings. If you are in a dumpy money situation then getting 5 high end battle rifles with great scopes doesn't make sense. You need to put resources towards getting to a sane and stable place, not an arsenal you can brag to your friends about.


Again balance is the key. Certainly once you meet a basic level of capability, say a basic 4 maybe plus one or two extras (like a semi auto rifle if your first is a bolt gun and a concealable pistol) with mags, ammo and all the other ancillary stuff to keep them going then it is worth at least considering if those dollars would be better spent elsewhere.

Personally over the next few years I plan to pick up up a couple Glocks, a couple rifles and a random gun or two. During that time I am also going to improve our situation in terms of defensive gear, food storage, some outdoor equipment, precious metals and of course savings. All of this stuff will increase more or less together. If our financial situation is such that we need to tighten up a bit or full on circle the wagons then all that stuff (except food storage because you can make real cheap progress there and it is well, important) would slow or stop more or less together.

Is there a point where I will decide I don't need any more guns? Probably. At the point where every member of the family has a rifle (potentially a defensive one and a hunting one), pistol and shotgun with us having some spares for each of us in the safe I would look at things. Most likely at that time I would start getting guns I want. Stuff for my collection which while functional (stainless Beretta 92, Walther P1, etc) aren't group standard or common tertiary type weapons (AK's, etc). Basically stuff I just want because it would be cool. 

Will I ever get to this point? Probably sooner or later. I'm in my late 20's and have a pretty good start already. If my average slips to 2 guns a year over a decade it would be 20 more guns. Figure if I am real good and focused that would be 15-17 group standard/ common tertiary weapons and 3-5 randoms.  So a few core weapons per individual. That would be a pretty solid situation. I imagine at most by my early 40's there won't be anything left which we need or much which I want.

Just remember that it is about keeping some balance and allocating your scarce resources in the best manner possible.

Friday, August 13, 2010

Not Good, Just Less Bad

I saw something interesting on the yahoo main page today. It is an article called The Myth of Good Debt. Certainly it is good for a coffee break or a few minutes of internet time wasting.

The whole subject of "good debt" vs bad debt has always kind of bothered me. Plain and simple debt is bad. You are promising future earnings for something now. You are almost surely paying interest for this service.

To be honest I think it is more like kind of bad debt and really bad debt. I would characterize home mortgages and education is kind of bad and consumer debt, credit cards, car loans and the like and really bad debt. The label good implies that it is smart to have this debt and it does great things for you. Sometimes that is right. In particular getting a college degree greatly increases (on average) your earning power. If you could figure a way to get through school with no debt or low debt that is ideal. However since educational costs have increased greatly beyond inflation or typical low level (working your way through school type job) wages that isn't always realistic.

Tangent begins- Also I would submit to some people that working your way through school at a low paying job and taking classes part time isn't the best route anyway. I have known a lot of people who had significant life problems as well as academic difficulties that lead to them not finishing school. They take a class here and another there and periodically have to drop out due to life reasons or even fail classes. Screwing up and not getting to a place where they can earn a comfortably livable wage and then continuing to earn 7-12 bucks an hour is pretty common. These folks then whine about how life is so hard and it isn't fair and generally have a long term pity party. What would often be a better course of action is to decrease their lifestyle if applicable, work less and borrow just enough to make up the difference. The difference between going to school and working 12-20 hours a week or 30-40 is huge. At minimum wage or close the amount of money we are talking about isn't that big. They could focus on school more and get it done at a decent pace. It probably will not be too hard to pay back said money with their increased future earnings. This is basically what I did and while I should have borrowed a bit less lived a bit cheaper it has worked out pretty well for us so far. End tangent.

With educational expenses should come degrees or certifications that significantly boost your earning power. I have got news for everybody. The days when a guy could graduate high school and  fall into a comfortably paying job doing work trained monkeys could do are over. We could talk about why this has happened but it doesn't change that it has. Especially with today's economy and jobs being scare you need to be marketable.

Mortgages are slightly worse than educational expenses IMO. I say this is because they do not have the same kind of exponential payoff as education (if properly targeted and used). Also the returns are generally less of a sure thing. House prices have a great long term track record but the short-mid term can be wild.

It would take a really long time for most people to save the cash to buy a traditional home outright. There are certainly some benefits to alternative housing but if you don't want to go that way the options are saving a lot of money for a very long time or getting a mortgage. Certainly paying the landlords mortgage for decades instead of your own and not getting the tax benefits or the appreciation in value doesn't make any sort of sense.

Getting a decent fixed mortgage you can actually afford on a home makes good sense for somebody in a stable financial place with some savings. As you noticed that sentence was kind of complicated. Maybe adjustable rate type mortgages or other exotic options make sense for some smart people in some situations. However for most people they are a horrible decision. If you can't afford a fixed rate it means you can't afford the home. Stability is very important as even short mortgages last many years and you need to be able to make that payment every month. Personally I have seen a lot of people get into trouble when they happen to get a job that pays somewhat better than they can expect elsewhere, 10 dollar an hour type guy earning 13 or a job that pays 70k instead of 55. The issue comes when they get a loan they can afford at their current higher wages and for whatever reason (laid off, fired, decide to change fields, etc) they end up changing jobs. Think about how much you could make at another job. Also having a safety net in the form of an emergency fund is essential. You've got to be able to deal with that month the car breaks or being out of work for awhile. I think Chief Instructor said once that a month of looking for every ten thousand dollars in salary is a guideline.

Part of my concern is that the concept of "good debt" leads to an attitude that having this debt is normal and even smart. Yeah it smart to increase your earning power with a degree and eventually purchase a home. However it is really smart to pay off that student loan as fast as possible and in time the home too. Having a mortgage (for the right person) beats the heck out of renting but owning a home free and clear beats the heck out of having a mortgage. I think it is also worth noting that if you buy a modest home you can actually afford paying it off at an accelerated rate is probably realistic. If you get absolutely as much home as you can make the payments on of course it isn't realistic to pay 10, 20, 50 or even 100% extra principle payments.

Cars I would classify as the best or most understandable of the "bad debt". Buying cars with cash is ideal. However "clunkers" can have some real problems. Some folks are good at fixing cars or just lucky and others have horrible luck. Often clunkers are unreliable and just $400 the heck out of you until they die. Basically if you aren't able to save a decent bit of cash and need a car for transportation you're pretty much stuck getting a loan. The real problem is how expensive of a car you get. For example awhile back my little sister found herself needing a decent reliable car. She went and got a loan to pay for a few year old basic car. Not a junker but also not new or fancy or anything like that. She paid it off faster than the loans planned life and still drives it. You need reliable transportation, not a new Mercedes. Look at it this way. If you can't afford to pay cash it means you aren't in a great spot for getting this car so be reasonable.

Consumer loans and credit card debt and such are just bad. The best case is that you use these as a sort of emergency fund because you haven't saved a couple months worth of expenses. This is bad because if you can't afford this stuff now why would you think it will be easier to afford later. I am a realist and I know things happen. I can also note that for some strange reason things seem to happen a lot more to folks who do not have emergency funds. Some unforeseen stuff comes up that has to happen right away. Replacing a key household appliance is a good example. Lets say your washer goes out. You get a new one from Sears and finance it then pay it off over a couple paychecks. Not insane. [However what if something bigger happens. Putting a months worth of living expenses from some down time at work on a credit card could take forever to dig out of. ] However using consumer loans to get all new appliances you don't really need for the whole house is insane.

My observation is that people rarely get into consumer or credit card debt trouble because of using them to ride out an emergency. People get into trouble here by using credit to live beyond their means buying this and that and the other thing which they can't afford and almost certainly don't need.

Sometimes debt makes sense. It can be understandable and even a good decision. However do not forget that at the end of the day no matter how "good" debt is it's still a promise of money you haven't even earned yet. Use it responsibly and try to get out of it as quickly as possible.

Saturday, July 3, 2010

If It's Important You Make It Happen

I feel a kinship with other bloggers. Maybe the kind of personalities who writes a blog in this arena are just similar, I don't know. However there are a lot of folks who seem to think very similarly to me. In particular Commander Zero and I seem to often think along the same lines. I am a few years behind him but we seem to look at problems in the same manner and ultimately reach similar conclusions.

Anyway it is my birthday tomorrow. For whatever reason I have never been a real surprise present kind of guy. Also I am a pretty type A kind of guy. I generally have at least a mental list of stuff I want to get and like working down it in an orderly manner. Even if a person guesses great and buys something I can use I would usually rather have the next item on said list at that given dollar price. Over time most of the people who buy me stuff for these sorts of events have learned to just ask and get me what I want. I don't really enjoy the "what is in the box?" kind of thing but like knowing I am getting X from the list.

Wifey and I spent about $250 on our birthdays. We don't really get ourselves Christmas presents as that is a pretty expensive time and we get plenty of loot anyway. For my birthday we are probably going to fund about half of an EOTech optic to go on a rifle.

Wifey said I am pretty boring and gave me the "you're crazy" plus a head shake which happens now and again.

So often I hear people talk about how they can't afford a good rifle or some kit or whatever. In some cases this is true. If you make $11 an hour and are supporting a family of 5 there just isn't much left over any way you figure it. However for so many other people it is about choices.

I am not going to talk about basic financial stuff like living below your means, paying with cash, avoiding debt and the like. That is something I have talked about plenty and there is no need to rehash it here. So I am pretty much just talking about current discretionary funds.

If something is important to you then make it happen. This is about priorities and weighing one thing against another. For instance if I got a new golf club or a video game system then purchasing an optic would not be an option. $500 spent on a fancy fishing rod could be spent on a water filter and a sleeping bag.

If you believe it is important to own a quality defensive rifle like an AK or an AR then make it happen by choosing to purchase one instead of a new flat screen TV or a weekend getaway. Instead of buying new furniture you don't really need put that money away and call it an emergency fund.

I am definitely not saying that you shouldn't have hobbies or should put every dime you have into preps. We all have to have some fun and life requires some sort of balance. What I am saying is that if something is truly important to you then you'll find a way to make it happen. Conversely if something just doesn't seem to be happening (and isn't on a time line of some sort) then it seems to not actually be that important to you. In this case weighing the unmet goal against other stuff you are doing is worthwhile. If you want to spend your money on the newest super fancy cell phone but don't own a pistol I guess that means you would rather have the cell phone.

Get critical and analyze the way you spend money. Weigh goals and desires from different categories against each other and decide what is most important. Make intentional choices to do the stuff you think is most important.

Thoughts?

Friday, July 2, 2010

Good Places to Put Money

First of all a big fatty disclaimer. I am not an economist or a financial adviser or anything like that. Just a guy with a blog so if you take my advice and lose a ton of money don't come whining to me. However since I more or less follow what is talked about I would be right there being bummed with ya. Also I think some degree of taking care of basic preps at least enough for a Katrina like event first makes sense. For several hundred dollars (a bit less if you own a gun now) that is just darn good insurance. Beyond that I put money towards preps and money stuff. 

This is a weird time. Interest rates are incredibility low so you make little to nothing on any secure bonds, cd's, etc. I recently jumped through a bunch of hoops and moved money around to earn something like 1.3% because well there aren't better options at least in an FDIC insured liquid type situation.

Gold has gotten past my personal level of insanity. I hesitate to make distinct predictions but it looks like the shiny yellow stuff is either at a plateau or a peak. Not where I would want to put money these days. Silver is a bit better but that doesn't hit the real point. PM's are a store of value not an investment (no dividends, income or compound inflation) and as such IMO they have a role in ones plans but a modest one.

The stock market is all over the place. I don't think anybody really knows what is going on between the bail out madness and this new financial legislation. Those smart money people have always said how you shouldn't have money you need in the near future (think I've heard 5 years) in the stock market at all. Unless you are one of those people who does it for a living I am not convinced I would get in unless the goal was real long term. So if you have a few bucks that are not going to basic bills where should they go?

 Maybe it is the kind of situation where some folks make a killing in a recovery but then again maybe you will lose the whole wad. If you have cash sitting around and a high tolerance for risk then go for it. However if your mom just sold the big family house to downsize I would not suggest the market.

If you have debt that is a sure fire place to put available funds. Double so with high interest type debts. You will start cutting down on interest expenses and eventually free up a higher portion of your income.

Another good consideration is investing in yourself. This is a particularly good one if your earning ability isn't quite where you would like it to be. To be blunt this is hard because usually the folks who would really benefit from increasing their earning potential with a degree or a certification or an internship usually don't have cash to spare. The only consolation I can give is that you're going to have to improve the situation or things will just stay the same and 5 years down the road you will be scrounging change to get gas for the car on the 28th. 

Even if you are in a decent spot there is often room for improvement. For a bit of time and money a course or a certification or even a degree can certainly pay off. Education is something nobody can take away from you. It doesn't have a risk of loss of principle and assuming it is in a marketable (not underwater basket weaving) area that you plan to work in it pays great dividends.

Real estate is a good one if you have the cash and it suits your plans. The only down side is that without taking on debt the buy in is pretty high. In particular I think income producing real estate is a great way to go. Maybe an apartment or some farmland you could rent/ lease out. Hard to beat a non dollar denominated tangible that produces income.

These days most of our disposable income goes toward paying off debt. Some goes for long term savings and some to precious metals but debt is the big push. After completing that step we will start saving for a home.

Thoughts? Disagreement? What are you doing with money these days?

Saturday, June 26, 2010

Home Finances 101

When I asked what your goals were our friend Sam included learning more about micro/ home finances. It seems like this is a good time to talk about home finances. I know a little bit about this concept. While I am not 50+ and financially comfortable (yet!) I am in some ways more fiscally prudent and capable in this arena than many older folks. This is one of those things that some people seem to get at a young age, others a bit later in life and some just never get it.

A couple of things to be up front about.

1) I have drank the Dave Ramsey cool aid. I wouldn't give him all my money and then follow the guy to a compound in the jungle but for the most part I have bought in to his ideas. [I say for the most part because I would be inclined to keep the first baby step worth of money in cash and while paying off the visa at 19% makes sense I might be inclined to get more of an emergency fund (say a month or two's expenses) prior to the full on snow ball.]

2) Also I think far too many people see budgets in the wrong light. They see it as somebody trying to impose a real penny pinching and rigid lifestyle onto them. Personally I see a budget as how we decide what to do with our money instead of saying "where did all my money go". If you want to have a $5 super grande mochawhackachoca latte every day I think that is a poor choice but it is entirely your decision. Just put it into your budget so you know how much it adds up to and where that money is going.

As for how to manage your money there are a lot of different methods. Sort of like the division of labor in a marriage there are about as many methods as there are couples. Just because it works for one person doesn't mean it will for another. What fails miserably for one will work great for another. This is more of an art of finding what works for you than a science.

Dave Ramsey suggests a budget that literally allocates every penny which comes in. This system uses envelopes for the cash that goes to each area. Your $180 for groceries goes in one envelope $90 for electricity in another, etc. You only spend what is in the envelope on a given area and thus you stay within the intended plan. This is about as extreme as you can go in terms of budgets.

The other extreme would be having no budget. I know only one person who is successful ( difficult to define but he never had money problems and continually lived well below his means and saved) with what basically amounts to no budget. He is just a real simple person with very minimal needs and modest desires. He lived comfortably on a pretty typical rather physical semi skilled job making $10 an hour or so. A couple years later after getting into a skilled trade that paid close to 3 times that much his lifestyle didn't change much. [ He also had a true entrepreneurial multiple streams of income mentality and executed one of the most creative and smart alternate housing ideas I have seen. Those are however stories for another day.] It worked for him but doesn't really seem to work for other folks.

I would say as a general guideline the more significant your money problems or desired improvement the more strict your budget should be both in terms of planning more specifically and cutting the fat. If you have a lot of debt AND your expenses are out stripping your income then a pretty rigid budget is essential. If you face a significant income change and have to adjust to that harsh new reality then every penny counts. If you just want to save a bit more or just keep some track of where your money is going then a less stringent budget may suit your needs. If you are doing fine then having your budget be more of a broad plan might work.

We do not have a strict budget parse. We take the money we want to save for various purposes or make principal payments out when a paycheck comes in. Other than that we pay our couple bills and just sorta go with it. We generally eat out about twice a week and have a rough idea how much can be spent on various stuff. Sometimes we spend a bit too much and the checking account gets low then we tighten up some.  

Upon reflection it might be more accurate to say that the formality of our budget sort of ebbs and flows as needed. When we got married and had no money but needed pretty much everything things were tight things and thus pretty formalized. Over time things loosened up some. In general right after we move (which is a lot) we watch it pretty closely for 2-3 months as the new expenses of that living situation get figured out.

I consider a budget as a living thing. Instead of being a rigid plan you must stick to it is every evolving. If you find that the amount you planned for something (say the electric bill) doesn't work you have to adjust things elsewhere to balance the scales.

So we have established that pretty much everybody needs some sort of a budget. I find that they need to be written down in some form or another at least at the stage of inception. If you are real old school a simple piece of paper will work though excel makes for easy changes and the auto sum feature is sure nice. I have found that if you are willing to take the time to figure it out Mint.com is very useful. That brings us to the next point. Also to help my finances click on an ad now and then. 

In order to know if you are actually following your planned budget you will need to track expenses to some degree. Following through is essential, otherwise a nice written budget is a moot point (see I finally got that right. If you Grammar Nazis keep at it sooner or later all of my bad habits will get fixed). Otherwise you will not know if you are meeting your intended plan at all, let alone in specific areas. As with anything else it is difficult to fix something you don't know is broken. Knowing you spent $200 too much this month is not helpful. Knowing you spend $50 too much on food, $40 too much on clothes and $60 too much on entertainment is quite helpful. You could use the envelope system or keep receipts and tally them up, maybe using Mint.com.  Could be that your banks online system is good enough to do the job or you could even write everything down in a little notebook (thought that seems like a hassle which means most folks won't actually do it).

I find that going along with a budget comes having mid and long term financial goals figured out. Short and mid term goals flow naturally with a budget because you are allocating money towards them or planning to allocate money towards them. Maybe you are working the baby steps or trying to save for a vacation or whatever. Of course some goals like paying off debt are probably better decisions than others like saving for a jet ski but the point is that if it isn't in the budget it isn't getting funded. As for longer term goals you might not be funding it currently but if there isn't some plan to fund it in the future it probably falls more into the wish category.

What have you done in terms of family budgeting that has worked? What have you tried that has failed?

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Debt N' Why It's Bad

I tend to have a broader concept of preparedness than a lot of folks. I see physical fitness and financial stuff being just as important as sexy things like AK47's and cases of freeze dried foods. In other words if you are a fat slob and have a messy financial situation you are not well prepared even if you have beans, bullets and band aids. Sorry but I keep it real.

I got to thinking about why debt is really bad yesterday. To me there are three major reasons.

The first reason is that debt is promising future money you have not even earned yet. Not necessarily a big deal if things go humming along as usual but what if a job is lost or your income changes? A payment that might not be a big deal when you are working full time at a good job (whatever that is for you) might become a big deal if you get cut to part time or have to take a lower paying job.

The second reason sort of piggy backs along with the first. It is often tempting to pay for something over some time instead of trying to come up with all the cash immediately. Having a $50 payment on a whatever isn't a big deal. However my observation is that for whatever reason pretty quickly people have so many payments (even little ones add  up) that it is no longer realistic for them to pay cash for stuff. Kind of a vicious cycle that is easy to slip into and not fun to get out of.

The thing is that for most of us average folks our financial power comes from our salary/ income. The more of our income that isn't already allocated to some junk we got on payments means we have money to put to things we want to do or save. A guy who has 1k a month in money not already going to service debt or meet basic needs (food, shelter, etc) can use that money however he wants. He can also decide on a month to month basis where that money will go. Maybe it is a nice ski trip and a handgun one month and savings the next or whatever. He could use that money to meet whatever needs may come up be they real or perceived. He can also use it to save up to pay CASH for stuff. On the other hand if his neighbor makes the same amount of money but has a car payment and a credit card payment and a home depot card he doesn't have that money to put towards whatever. Thus he can't decide it is a good idea to get a gun this month or save cash for stuff.

So up to this point the issues with debt are first that your situation may change and a comfortable payment will become a real issue. Secondly having most of your money going to service debt leaves little room to do things you want to do be they completely frivolous or super practical.

Lastly people do not generally loan you money because they like you. They are in business to make money by lending you money and getting it back with interest. Credit cards with 10-18% interest will destroy you in a hurry if you get over your head. Servicing the interest alone becomes difficult so hardly anything actually goes toward the principal. Even lower rates really add up if you take the super long payment option. The real cost of a $500 washer paid off over a couple years at 6.99% interest is more than $500. Also at places where you can realistically bargain (of course you can try to bargain anywhere but the guy working the floor at a big box probably has no authority) the position of somebody who needs financing is very weak. Try to buy a five thousand dollar car with cash and you may well get a deal. If you need financing you will pay five grand THEN interest.

Whenever possible pay cash for stuff. If you can't pay cash then if at all possible save and wait until you can pay cash. I am not saying you shouldn't go on nice vacations or have some fun toys but I am saying if you can't pay cash then it probably isn't a good idea. If you are in debt try to get out of it. I still have a student loan and now that the emergency fund is at a comfortable level we are putting a lot of money towards paying it off early. Making an extra 200% principal payment every month will see that debt put to rest around the end of this year. After we get out of debt I can't really see borrowing money except to buy a reasonable home.

Oh yeah and please check out one of our advertisers. They have good stuff and it really helps keep this place going. 

Friday, June 18, 2010

quote of the day

"Personal history has shown me that long before TSHTF in a cataclysmic, biblical, Mad Max, zombierific way there’ll be plenty of small scale ‘personal SHTF’ moments….job losses, broken limbs, faulty transmissions, clogged pipes, broken furnaces, uncovered medical treatments, and that sort of thing. The sorts of situations that cant be fixed with an AK47, solar panels and a case of MRE’s. So…being pragmatic….we prepare for those ‘minor’ emergencies as well.

It follows, naturally, that if we’re not plunking down several hundred dollars a month to service debt then we’ve freed up that money to do other things…things we want to do rather than have to do. So…yeah, minimizing debt may definitely open up a few doors."

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Fantasy vs Reality

It occurred to me just a minute ago how much of a role fantasy plays in survivalism/ preparedness.

Part of it is that while we don't want to admit it preparedness is in many ways a hobby. Yeah it could be real important some day but on a normal everyday basis it is a thing we allocate resources and time to because it gives us enjoyment/ entertainment in some form or another. In that respect it is not so different than being in a softball league or bass fishing or stamp collecting or any other hobby. Seriously you can sharp shoot that statement all day long but it has at least some truth.

We can also want to be vindicated and thus entertain very specific worst case scenarios that let what we like and prepare for shine. A guy with a super fancy tricked out rifle envisions it saving his life and whatever. A guy with a closet full of Mosin Nagants imagines arming/ forming a large neighborhood guard or a militia. An avid gardener imagines their massive crop feeding the whole neighborhood. A person with great preps envisions being able to be the neighborhood hero. Somebody who has an awesome "retreat" but debt up to their eyeballs sees things falling apart and them being in a great position.

More concerning is the inverse of this fantasy worst case scenario. Simply put by focusing too heavily on this tailor made scenario they ignore a variety of other scenarios, much to their detriment. The guy with a super fancy rifle who also doesn't have any food ignores the possibility that we will not be attacked by a bunch of thugs and will sit there bored and very hungry. Instead of another sweet mil spec wanna be accessory he should get some frickin food. The very nice friendly gardener lady (The ones who go whole hog preparedness but totally ignore defense tend to be women) ignores the distinct possibility that she could need to protect herself from violence or theft. Somebody might want all of her food instead of a basket full or they might even want her. Instead of another garden bed she should buy and learn to use a defensive firearm. The guy with a basement full of preps doesn't have any savings. He somehow sees complex and unlikely worst case scenarios playing out but not say an unexpected emergency car or home repair. I wonder how these guys plan to push a homeless guy cart around with a years worth of food and a dozen guns in it after a fairly normal life event leads to their financial situation falling apart. 

The guy with the awesomely setup and well stocked retreat but debt up to his eyeballs sees scenarios where his debt is almost magically washed away but he still has all the cool stuff and preps. This guy is probably the most idealistic and fantasy fueled of all. He is almost wishing for (a narrowly and conveniently defined) TEOTWAWKI. He talks about how the "sheeple" will get their due and he will finally get to live free and untroubled by money concerns. He really thinks it would be great to not have to pay back the guys who loaned him the money for the land and the house and all the stuff. He thinks about how his sucky money situation would be washed away but fails to see that in significant ways people who have never even heard of preparedness but just keep their financial houses in order are probably more likely in the long run to have good outcomes than he. Instead of looking at his massive mortgage (possible an ARM) he sees a wonderful "retreat" on a nice piece of productive land and instead of a huge visa bill he sees a pair of night vision goggles and a pair of cool rifles. 

When doing a final edit on this I  realized that in all but one of the above scenarios the individual was specifically identified as a man. This wasn't conscious but is definitely significant. Upon 5 seconds of reflection I realize something. Aside from the (predominantly liberal and pseudo environmentalist) woman who make great preparations in many ways but completely ignore protecting themselves; women tend to take a pragmatic and realistic stance toward preparedness. It is us guys who seem to fall into these at least partially fantasy fueled preparations.

I am certainly not going to claim perfection. I have fallen into a stereotype or two myself as I started with a pretty solid gun collection and went from there. However as time goes by I am allocating a majority of my resources in a more reasonable manner which is the goal.

It is fine to day dream now and then. Just don't take the next step and focus too heavily on scenarios that involve buying toys you like, hobbies you enjoy or happen to just work out real conveniently for you. At a minimum at least consider your vulnerability to scenarios that do not happen to be tailor made to your interests and position. I urge you to be realistic and prepare for a variety of scenarios, not just the one that happens to be convenient and ideal.

Monday, May 10, 2010

It Has Got To Add Up

Alternate title- Mutually Incompatible Ideas

I was never very good at math. Pretty much all I remember about equations is that they have an equal sign and thus one side equals the other plus that you get to what it equals by canceling stuff out. I forget which order to cancel stuff out in but that isn't important. The thing is that it has got to add up.

Time is the most definite application of this. Simply put there are 24 hours in a day. It doesn't matter if you are dirt poor or filthy rich, you don't get any more time. You can make choices that facilitate more time for leisure or whatever but that is just dividing your time differently. An hour spent on spreadsheets for work can not be spent practicing Karate or on a walk with your spouse. However I find the most practical application to be money. Even if we do not rely on every dollar that comes in to pay bills we generally have them going somewhere. A dollar that goes to a Visa bill is not going to a 401k or whatever. 

One area I have seen this multiple times recently is the topic of stay at home mothers with people we know. Couples say "when we have a kid she will be a stay at home mom" but do not consider the second half of that equation. To me the second half of the "when we have a kid she will be a stay at home mom" equation is to live a lifestyle that can be maintained with his salary. It is one thing to want her to be able to stay home with babies but it is entirely another thing to actually want it enough to make it work. These couples simply live far beyond what they could afford on one of their salaries. Having two new cars with loans to match and credit card debt, etc, etc is not reasonable given what they make. When these couples have a kid they are either going to realize they simply can not afford for her to stay home. Well also they might not even consider the economic side of things and have her go home anyway. Shortly following their financial situation will deteriorate rapidly.

Saying "I believe a woman should stay at home with her kids" or "I believe you should have a years worth of food" or "I believe you should have an emergency fund" or whatever is one thing. It is another thing entirely to do what it takes to make these things actually feasible. The reason these things often turn out to not be feasible is because we look at them in isolation. Because we look at them in isolation we are not seeing what it takes to actually make them work.

Thinking about doing a certain thing is nice. However thinking about what you are going to do about balancing out the impact of what you are going to do. Often the difference between a plan that gets shelved and a plan that gets successfully executed.

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